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24 Apr 2015
Greece remains a wildcard – KBC
FXStreet (Barcelona) - With Eurogroup set to meet today in Riga, the KBC Bank Research Team, cautions that the discussions will likely underpin bunds and lead to weakness in equities.
Key Quotes
“On intra-EMU bond markets, Greek bonds outperformed (10-yr yield spread -55 bps). The ELA amount was raised on Wednesday and EC Dombrovskis said that the EU is ready to reach an agreement. It’s up to Greece to meet EMU conditions. He doesn’t expect a breakthrough at the Riga Eurogroup meeting though.”
“Today, the Eurogroup meets in Riga. While a deal on the final €7.2B aid tranche is not expected, both parties seem to be willing to agree at least on some sort of blueprint/interim deal.”
“In the sidelines of the meeting, German Chancellor Merkel and Greek PM Tsipras also meet. However, despite this “constructive” messages we don’t think that investors will be eager to front run on a deal.”
“Cautiousness ahead of the weekend/meeting is more likely in this respect and should also underpin demand for the Bund. Similarly, equity weakness shouldn’t surprise us after the tumble of Asian stocks.”
Key Quotes
“On intra-EMU bond markets, Greek bonds outperformed (10-yr yield spread -55 bps). The ELA amount was raised on Wednesday and EC Dombrovskis said that the EU is ready to reach an agreement. It’s up to Greece to meet EMU conditions. He doesn’t expect a breakthrough at the Riga Eurogroup meeting though.”
“Today, the Eurogroup meets in Riga. While a deal on the final €7.2B aid tranche is not expected, both parties seem to be willing to agree at least on some sort of blueprint/interim deal.”
“In the sidelines of the meeting, German Chancellor Merkel and Greek PM Tsipras also meet. However, despite this “constructive” messages we don’t think that investors will be eager to front run on a deal.”
“Cautiousness ahead of the weekend/meeting is more likely in this respect and should also underpin demand for the Bund. Similarly, equity weakness shouldn’t surprise us after the tumble of Asian stocks.”