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24 Apr 2015
What’s in store for EUR/USD today? – Commerzbank and Danske Bank
FXStreet (Edinburgh) - EUR/USD keeps the trade above the 1.0800 handle on Friday, with the main focus on the Eurogroup meeting.
“In our view we are unlikely to reach any solution on Greece before the summer crunch time and the uncertainty is likely to linger on for now. Near term EUR/USD is likely to trade in ranges of 1.0500/1.1050 but we still expect the break to occur on the downside as US data eventually gain speed, triggering a move higher in US yields, supporting the greenback”, noted Allan von Mehren, Chief Analyst at Danske Bank.
Furthermore, Karen Jones, Head of FICC Technical Analysis at Commerzbank, added the pair “has eroded its 5 month downtrend, and this allows for a deeper correction near term towards the 55 day ma at 1.0946. The market has yet to take out the 1.0849 high from last week or the cloud resistance at 1.0850 and intraday Elliott way counts are relatively neutral. So what does this mean? Probably that the 55 day ma will hold the topside”.
“In our view we are unlikely to reach any solution on Greece before the summer crunch time and the uncertainty is likely to linger on for now. Near term EUR/USD is likely to trade in ranges of 1.0500/1.1050 but we still expect the break to occur on the downside as US data eventually gain speed, triggering a move higher in US yields, supporting the greenback”, noted Allan von Mehren, Chief Analyst at Danske Bank.
Furthermore, Karen Jones, Head of FICC Technical Analysis at Commerzbank, added the pair “has eroded its 5 month downtrend, and this allows for a deeper correction near term towards the 55 day ma at 1.0946. The market has yet to take out the 1.0849 high from last week or the cloud resistance at 1.0850 and intraday Elliott way counts are relatively neutral. So what does this mean? Probably that the 55 day ma will hold the topside”.